Valproate (All indications)

Microcephaly / Small head circumference for gestational age

R analysis
id Study   Lib. in paper Exposition period    Study type  Control type 
 
Tags OR 95%CI x1/n1 x0/n0 no cases no exposed ROB Ref.
S10174
R37203
Blotière (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick) (Mixed indications), 2019 Microcephaly (until 24 months of age, identifiable by: Q02; brain MRI; according to the EUROCAT definition) 1st trimester retrospective cohort (claims database) exposed to other treatment, sick excluded Adjustment: No 1.09 [0.04;26.89] C
excluded (control group)
0/913   1/2,997 1 913
ref
S10051
R36477
Blotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019 Microcephaly (until 24 months of age, identifiable by: Q02; brain MRI; according to the EUROCAT definition) 1st trimester retrospective cohort (claims database) unexposed (general population or NOS) Adjustment: No 2.34 [0.15;37.55] C 0/913   438/1,875,733 438 913
ref
S9323
R32490
Pennell (Valproate), 2012 Microcephaly at birth (head circumference < 3 percentile) during pregnancy (anytime or not specified) prospective cohort exposed to other treatment, sick Adjustment: No 1.27 [0.34;4.83] C 4/38   6/71 10 38
ref
S9346
R32602
Kini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006 Head circumference in children aged between 6 months and 16 years <3rd centile during pregnancy (anytime or not specified) retrospective cohort unexposed, sick Adjustment: No 1.66 [0.46;5.96] C 5/63   5/101 10 63
ref
S9369
R32758
Battino (Valproate), 1999 Small head circumferences (at birth < 10th percentile) throughout pregnancy prospective cohort unexposed, sick Adjustment: No 0.68 [0.14;3.26] C 4/57   3/30 7 57
ref
S9370
R32759
Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999 Head circumference <2 SD at birth (measured by a physician and correlated with sex and with gestational age) during pregnancy (anytime or not specified) cohort unexposed, sick Adjustment: No 0.79 [0.01;44.65] C 0/10   0/8 0 10
ref
S9341
R32589
Dravet (Valproate), 1992 Isolated microcephaly at birth (head circumference >2 SD lower than those given in the reference tables adjusted for gestational age at birth) 1st trimester prospective cohort unexposed, sick Adjustment: No 3.12 [0.34;28.74] C 6/31   1/14 7 31
ref
Total 6 studies 1.36 [0.67;2.78] 472 1,112
x1: number of endpoints among exposed, n1: number of exposed; x0: number of endpoints among non exposed, n0: number of non exposed; C: calculated odds ratio from numbers of events and effectives

Forest plot

StudyTE95% CIn casesn exposedweightROBABCDEF Blotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019Blotière, 2019 1 2.34[0.15; 37.55]4389137%ROB confusion: NAROB selection: NAROB classification: NAROB missing: NAROB mesure: NAROB reporting: NA Pennell (Valproate), 2012Pennell, 2012 2 1.27[0.34; 4.83]103829%ROB confusion: NAROB selection: NAROB classification: NAROB missing: NAROB mesure: NAROB reporting: NA Kini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006Kini, 2006 3 1.66[0.46; 5.96]106331%ROB confusion: criticalROB selection: criticalROB classification: lowROB missing: unclearROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Battino (Valproate), 1999Battino, 1999 4 0.68[0.14; 3.26]75721%ROB confusion: criticalROB selection: lowROB classification: lowROB missing: moderateROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999Díaz-Romero, 1999 5 0.79[0.01; 44.65]0103%ROB confusion: NAROB selection: NAROB classification: NAROB missing: NAROB mesure: NAROB reporting: NA Dravet (Valproate), 1992Dravet, 1992 6 3.12[0.34; 28.74]73110%ROB confusion: NAROB selection: NAROB classification: NAROB missing: NAROB mesure: NAROB reporting: NA Total (6 studies) I2 = 0% 1.36[0.67; 2.78]4721,1120.210.01.0ROB: A: confusion, B: selection, C: classification, D: missing, E: measurement, F: reportinglow,moderate,serious,critical,unclear,

1: Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications; 2: Valproate; 3: Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick; 4: Valproate; 5: Valproate; 6: Valproate;

Sensitivity analysis

SubsetTE95% CIn casesn exposedkI2 Type of studies cohort studiescohort studies 1.36[0.67; 2.78]4721,1120%NABlotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019 Pennell (Valproate), 2012 Kini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006 Battino (Valproate), 1999 Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999 Dravet (Valproate), 1992 6 case control studiescase control studies 0 Type of controls unexposed (disease free or unspecified)unexposed (disease free or unspecified) 2.34[0.15; 37.55]438913 -NABlotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019 1 unexposed, sickunexposed, sick 1.33[0.55; 3.22]241610%NAKini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006 Battino (Valproate), 1999 Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999 Dravet (Valproate), 1992 4 exposed to other treatment, sickexposed to other treatment, sick 1.27[0.34; 4.83]1038 -NAPennell (Valproate), 2012 1 Tags Adjustment   - No  - No 1.36[0.67; 2.78]4721,1120%NABlotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019 Pennell (Valproate), 2012 Kini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006 Battino (Valproate), 1999 Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999 Dravet (Valproate), 1992 6 All studiesAll studies 1.36[0.67; 2.78]4721,1120%NABlotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019 Pennell (Valproate), 2012 Kini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006 Battino (Valproate), 1999 Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999 Dravet (Valproate), 1992 60.210.01.0

Publication bias and p-hacking diagnosis

funnel plot
0.0-4.85.22.4710.000Blotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019Pennell (Valproate), 2012Kini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006Battino (Valproate), 1999Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999Dravet (Valproate), 1992

Asymetry test p-value = 0.7644 (by Egger's regression)

slope=0.1132 (0.6554); intercept=0.2364 (0.7369); t=0.3208; p=0.7644

p values plot
0.01.00.01.0

Sub-groups analysis using all included studies

excluded 10174

Sub-groupsTE95% CIn casesn exposedkI2ROB type of controls unexposed controls (disease free or unspecified)unexposed controls (disease free or unspecified) 2.34[0.15; 37.55]438913 -NABlotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019 1 unexposed, sick controlsunexposed, sick controls 1.33[0.55; 3.22]241610%NAKini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006 Battino (Valproate), 1999 Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999 Dravet (Valproate), 1992 4 exposed to other treatment, sick controlsexposed to other treatment, sick controls 1.25[0.36; 4.26]119510%NABlotière (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick) (Mixed indications), 2019 Pennell (Valproate), 2012 20.510.01.0