Valproate (All indications) updated on 04-22-2025

Microcephaly / Small head circumference for gestational age

R analysis
id Study   Lib. in paper Exposition period    Study type  Control type 
 
Tags OR 95%CI x1/n1 x0/n0 no cases no exposed ROB Ref.
S16067
R66679
Christensen (Valproate) (All indications) (Controls exposed to LTG), 2024 Microcephaly (z-score for head circumference ≤3rd percentile for gestational week, sex, and country (including newborns with congenital malformations)) during pregnancy (anytime or not specified) population based cohort retrospective exposed to other treatment, sick excluded Adjustment: No 1.17 [0.92;1.48] C
excluded (control group)
97/2,669   274/8,756 371 2,669
ref
S16022
R66511
Christensen (Valproate) (All indications) (Controls unexposed, general population), 2024 Microcephaly (z-score for head circumference ≤3rd percentile for gestational week, sex, and country (including newborns with congenital malformations)) during pregnancy (anytime or not specified) population based cohort retrospective unexposed (general population or NOS) Adjustment: Yes 1.08 [0.85;1.37] 97/2,669   134,023/4,467,848 134,120 2,669
ref
S10174
R37203
Blotière (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick) (Mixed indications), 2019 Microcephaly (until 24 months of age, identifiable by: Q02; brain MRI; according to the EUROCAT definition) 1st trimester retrospective cohort (claims database) exposed to other treatment, sick excluded Adjustment: No 1.09 [0.04;26.89] C
excluded (control group)
0/913   1/2,997 1 913
ref
S10051
R36477
Blotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019 Microcephaly (until 24 months of age, identifiable by: Q02; brain MRI; according to the EUROCAT definition) 1st trimester retrospective cohort (claims database) unexposed (general population or NOS) Adjustment: No 2.34 [0.15;37.55] C 0/913   438/1,875,733 438 913
ref
S18027
R75967
Margulis (Valproate) (Mixed indications), 2019 Microcephaly (a head circumference of two or more SDs below the mean for gestational age at birth, using a local standard) during pregnancy (anytime or not specified) population based cohort retrospective exposed to other treatment, sick Adjustment: Yes 1.80 [1.00;3.20] -/824   -/1,767 - 824
ref
S9323
R32490
Pennell (Valproate), 2012 Microcephaly at birth (head circumference < 3 percentile) during pregnancy (anytime or not specified) prospective cohort exposed to other treatment, sick Adjustment: No 1.27 [0.34;4.83] C 4/38   6/71 10 38
ref
S9346
R32602
Kini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006 Head circumference in children aged between 6 months and 16 years <3rd centile during pregnancy (anytime or not specified) retrospective cohort unexposed, sick Adjustment: No 1.66 [0.46;5.96] C 5/63   5/101 10 63
ref
S9369
R32758
Battino (Valproate), 1999 Small head circumferences (at birth < 10th percentile) throughout pregnancy prospective cohort unexposed, sick Adjustment: No 0.68 [0.14;3.26] C 4/57   3/30 7 57
ref
S9370
R32759
Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999 Head circumference <2 SD at birth (measured by a physician and correlated with sex and with gestational age) during pregnancy (anytime or not specified) cohort unexposed, sick Adjustment: No 0.79 [0.01;44.65] C 0/10   0/8 0 10
ref
S9341
R32589
Dravet (Valproate), 1992 Isolated microcephaly at birth (head circumference >2 SD lower than those given in the reference tables adjusted for gestational age at birth) 1st trimester prospective cohort unexposed, sick Adjustment: No 3.12 [0.34;28.74] C 6/31   1/14 7 31
ref
Total 8 studies 1.18 [0.95;1.46] 134,592 4,605
x1: number of endpoints among exposed, n1: number of exposed; x0: number of endpoints among non exposed, n0: number of non exposed; C: calculated odds ratio from numbers of events and effectives

Forest plot

StudyTE95% CIn casesn exposedweightROBABCDEF Christensen (Valproate) (All indications) (Controls unexposed, general population), 2024Christensen, 2024 1 1.08[0.85; 1.37]134,1202,66978%ROB confusion: criticalROB selection: lowROB classification: criticalROB missing: lowROB mesure: unclearROB reporting: moderate Blotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019Blotière, 2019 2 2.34[0.15; 37.55]4389131%ROB confusion: NAROB selection: NAROB classification: NAROB missing: NAROB mesure: NAROB reporting: NA Margulis (Valproate) (Mixed indications), 2019Margulis, 2019 3 1.80[1.00; 3.20]-82413%ROB confusion: seriousROB selection: lowROB classification: moderateROB missing: lowROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Pennell (Valproate), 2012Pennell, 2012 4 1.27[0.34; 4.83]10383%ROB confusion: NAROB selection: NAROB classification: NAROB missing: NAROB mesure: NAROB reporting: NA Kini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006Kini, 2006 5 1.66[0.46; 5.96]10633%ROB confusion: criticalROB selection: criticalROB classification: lowROB missing: unclearROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Battino (Valproate), 1999Battino, 1999 6 0.68[0.14; 3.26]7572%ROB confusion: criticalROB selection: lowROB classification: lowROB missing: moderateROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999Díaz-Romero, 1999 7 0.79[0.01; 44.65]0100%ROB confusion: NAROB selection: NAROB classification: NAROB missing: NAROB mesure: NAROB reporting: NA Dravet (Valproate), 1992Dravet, 1992 8 3.12[0.34; 28.74]7311%ROB confusion: NAROB selection: NAROB classification: NAROB missing: NAROB mesure: NAROB reporting: NA Total (8 studies) I2 = 0% 1.18[0.95; 1.46]134,5924,6050.210.01.0ROB: A: confusion, B: selection, C: classification, D: missing, E: measurement, F: reportinglow,moderate,serious,critical,unclear,

1: Valproate) (All indications) (Controls unexposed, general population; 2: Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications; 3: Valproate) (Mixed indications; 4: Valproate; 5: Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick; 6: Valproate; 7: Valproate; 8: Valproate;

Sensitivity analysis

SubsetTE95% CIn casesn exposedkI2 Type of studies cohort studiescohort studies 1.18[0.95; 1.46]134,5924,6050%NAChristensen (Valproate) (All indications) (Controls unexposed, general population), 2024 Blotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019 Margulis (Valproate) (Mixed indications), 2019 Pennell (Valproate), 2012 Kini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006 Battino (Valproate), 1999 Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999 Dravet (Valproate), 1992 8 case control studiescase control studies 0 Type of controls unexposed (disease free or unspecified)unexposed (disease free or unspecified) 1.09[0.86; 1.38]134,5583,5820%NAChristensen (Valproate) (All indications) (Controls unexposed, general population), 2024 Blotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019 2 unexposed, sickunexposed, sick 1.33[0.55; 3.22]241610%NAKini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006 Battino (Valproate), 1999 Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999 Dravet (Valproate), 1992 4 exposed to other treatment, sickexposed to other treatment, sick 1.70[1.00; 2.90]108620%NAMargulis (Valproate) (Mixed indications), 2019 Pennell (Valproate), 2012 2 Tags Adjustment   - No  - No 1.36[0.67; 2.78]4721,1120%NABlotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019 Pennell (Valproate), 2012 Kini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006 Battino (Valproate), 1999 Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999 Dravet (Valproate), 1992 6   - Yes  - Yes 1.30[0.80; 2.10]134,1203,49361%NAChristensen (Valproate) (All indications) (Controls unexposed, general population), 2024 Margulis (Valproate) (Mixed indications), 2019 2 All studiesAll studies 1.18[0.95; 1.46]134,5924,6050%NAChristensen (Valproate) (All indications) (Controls unexposed, general population), 2024 Blotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019 Margulis (Valproate) (Mixed indications), 2019 Pennell (Valproate), 2012 Kini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006 Battino (Valproate), 1999 Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999 Dravet (Valproate), 1992 80.210.01.0

Publication bias and p-hacking diagnosis

funnel plot
0.0-4.85.02.4710.000Christensen (Valproate) (All indications) (Controls unexposed, general population), 2024Blotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019Margulis (Valproate) (Mixed indications), 2019Pennell (Valproate), 2012Kini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006Battino (Valproate), 1999Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999Dravet (Valproate), 1992

Asymetry test p-value = 0.3026 (by Egger's regression)

slope=0.0776 (0.1133); intercept=0.4198 (0.3723); t=1.1274; p=0.3026

p values plot
0.01.00.01.0

Sub-groups analysis using all included studies

excluded 10174, 16067

Sub-groupsTE95% CIn casesn exposedkI2ROB type of controls unexposed controls (disease free or unspecified)unexposed controls (disease free or unspecified) 1.09[0.86; 1.38]134,5583,5820%NAChristensen (Valproate) (All indications) (Controls unexposed, general population), 2024 Blotière (Valproate) (Controls unexposed NOS) (Mixed indications), 2019 2 unexposed, sick controlsunexposed, sick controls 1.33[0.55; 3.22]241610%NAKini (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2006 Battino (Valproate), 1999 Díaz-Romero (Valproate), 1999 Dravet (Valproate), 1992 4 exposed to other treatment, sick controlsexposed to other treatment, sick controls 1.24[1.00; 1.54]3824,4440%NAChristensen (Valproate) (All indications) (Controls exposed to LTG), 2024 Blotière (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick) (Mixed indications), 2019 Margulis (Valproate) (Mixed indications), 2019 Pennell (Valproate), 2012 40.510.01.0