Valproate (All indications)

Neural Tube Defects

R analysis
id Study   Lib. in paper Exposition period    Study type  Control type 
 
Tags OR 95%CI x1/n1 x0/n0 no cases no exposed ROB Ref.
S9359
R32738
Tomson (Valproate), 2018 Neural tube defects at least 1st trimester prospective cohort exposed to other treatment, sick Adjustment: No 29.46 [3.90;222.36] C 16/1,381   1/2,514 17 1,381
ref
S9333
R32558
Campbell (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2014 Neural tube defect 1st trimester prospective cohort exposed to other treatment, sick Adjustment: No 11.29 [2.54;50.12] 13/1,220   2/2,098 15 1,220
ref
S10295
R37702
Vajda (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2013 Neural Tube Malformations at least 1st trimester prospective cohort exposed to other treatment, sick excluded Adjustment: No 17.90 [1.02;314.95] C
excluded (control group)
7/271   0/315 7 271
ref
S10296
R37706
Vajda (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2013 Neural Tube Malformations at least 1st trimester prospective cohort unexposed, sick Adjustment: No 8.34 [0.47;147.07] C 7/271   0/147 7 271
ref
S10231
R37482
Hernández-Díaz (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2012 Neural tube defects 1st trimester prospective cohort exposed to other treatment, sick Adjustment: No Controls: mixed indications 9.78 [1.78;53.63] C 4/323   2/1,562 6 323
ref
S9331
R32550
Bànhidy (Valproate), 2011 Neural tube defects throughout pregnancy case control unexposed, sick Adjustment: No Matched 2.00 [0.10;39.08] C 1/6   1/11 2 6
ref
S9312
R35336
Mawer (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2010 Neural Tube Malformations 1st trimester prospective cohort exposed to other treatment, sick excluded Adjustment: No 0.70 [0.01;35.84] C
excluded (control group)
0/53   0/37 0 53
ref
S9317
R35340
Mawer (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, disease free), 2010 Neural Tube Malformations 1st trimester prospective cohort unexposed, disease free excluded Adjustment: No Matched 1.80 [0.07;44.79] C
excluded (control group)
0/53   1/285 1 53
ref
S9318
R35344
Mawer (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2010 Neural Tube Malformations 1st trimester prospective cohort unexposed, sick Adjustment: No 0.77 [0.01;39.72] C 0/53   0/41 0 53
ref
S9335
R32576
Canger (Valproate), 1999 Neural tube defects 1st trimester prospective cohort unexposed, sick Adjustment: No 7.00 [0.37;132.29] C 5/44   0/25 5 44
ref
Total 7 studies 9.34 [4.08;21.40] 52 3,298
x1: number of endpoints among exposed, n1: number of exposed; x0: number of endpoints among non exposed, n0: number of non exposed; C: calculated odds ratio from numbers of events and effectives

Forest plot

StudyTE95% CIn casesn exposedweightROBABCDEF Tomson (Valproate), 2018Tomson, 2018 1 29.46[3.90; 222.36]171,38117%ROB confusion: NAROB selection: NAROB classification: NAROB missing: NAROB mesure: NAROB reporting: NA Campbell (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2014Campbell, 2014 2 11.29[2.54; 50.12]151,22031%ROB confusion: criticalROB selection: lowROB classification: moderateROB missing: unclearROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Vajda (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2013Vajda, 2013 3 8.34[0.47; 147.07]72718%ROB confusion: NAROB selection: NAROB classification: NAROB missing: NAROB mesure: NAROB reporting: NA Hernández-Díaz (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2012Hernández-Díaz, 2012 4 9.78[1.78; 53.63]632324%ROB confusion: moderateROB selection: lowROB classification: moderateROB missing: moderateROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Bànhidy (Valproate), 2011Bànhidy, 2011 5 2.00[0.10; 39.08]268%ROB confusion: criticalROB selection: criticalROB classification: lowROB missing: lowROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Mawer (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2010Mawer, 2010 6 0.77[0.01; 39.72]0534%ROB confusion: criticalROB selection: moderateROB classification: lowROB missing: moderateROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Canger (Valproate), 1999Canger, 1999 7 7.00[0.37; 132.29]5448%ROB confusion: NAROB selection: NAROB classification: NAROB missing: NAROB mesure: NAROB reporting: NA Total (7 studies) I2 = 0% 9.34[4.08; 21.40]523,2980.2100.01.0ROB: A: confusion, B: selection, C: classification, D: missing, E: measurement, F: reportinglow,moderate,serious,critical,unclear,

1: Valproate; 2: Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick; 3: Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick; 4: Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick; 5: Valproate; 6: Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick; 7: Valproate;

Sensitivity analysis

SubsetTE95% CIn casesn exposedkI2 Type of studies cohort studiescohort studies 10.64[4.49; 25.23]503,2920%NATomson (Valproate), 2018 Campbell (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2014 Vajda (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2013 Hernández-Díaz (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2012 Mawer (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2010 Canger (Valproate), 1999 6 case control studiescase control studies 2.00[0.10; 39.08]26 -NABànhidy (Valproate), 2011 1 Type of controls unexposed, sickunexposed, sick 3.72[0.79; 17.56]143740%NAVajda (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2013 Bànhidy (Valproate), 2011 Mawer (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2010 Canger (Valproate), 1999 4 exposed to other treatment, sickexposed to other treatment, sick 13.49[5.06; 35.97]382,9240%NATomson (Valproate), 2018 Campbell (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2014 Hernández-Díaz (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2012 3 Tags Adjustment   - No  - No 9.34[4.08; 21.40]523,2980%NATomson (Valproate), 2018 Campbell (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2014 Vajda (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2013 Hernández-Díaz (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2012 Bànhidy (Valproate), 2011 Mawer (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2010 Canger (Valproate), 1999 7 Controls   - mixed indications  - mixed indications 9.78[1.78; 53.63]6323 -NAHernández-Díaz (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2012 1 MatchedMatched 2.00[0.10; 39.08]26 -NABànhidy (Valproate), 2011 1 All studiesAll studies 9.34[4.08; 21.40]523,2980%NATomson (Valproate), 2018 Campbell (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2014 Vajda (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2013 Hernández-Díaz (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2012 Bànhidy (Valproate), 2011 Mawer (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2010 Canger (Valproate), 1999 70.2100.01.0

Publication bias and p-hacking diagnosis

funnel plot
0.0-4.77.02.4130.000Tomson (Valproate), 2018Campbell (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2014Vajda (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2013Hernández-Díaz (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2012Bànhidy (Valproate), 2011Mawer (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2010Canger (Valproate), 1999

Asymetry test p-value = 0.0927 (by Egger's regression)

slope=3.9702 (0.8805); intercept=-1.6322 (0.7867); t=2.0748; p=0.0927

p values plot
0.01.00.01.0

Sub-groups analysis using all included studies

excluded 9312, 9317, 10295

Sub-groupsTE95% CIn casesn exposedkI2ROB type of controls unexposed controls (disease free or unspecified)unexposed controls (disease free or unspecified) 1.80[0.07; 44.79]153 -NAMawer (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, disease free), 2010 1 unexposed, sick controlsunexposed, sick controls 3.72[0.79; 17.56]143740%NAVajda (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2013 Bànhidy (Valproate), 2011 Mawer (Valproate) (Controls unexposed, sick), 2010 Canger (Valproate), 1999 4 exposed to other treatment, sick controlsexposed to other treatment, sick controls Out of scale11.87[4.81; 29.30]453,2480%NATomson (Valproate), 2018 Campbell (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2014 Vajda (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2013 Hernández-Díaz (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2012 Mawer (Valproate) (Controls exposed to Lamotrigine, sick), 2010 50.510.01.0