Valproate (Paternal exposure)

ADHD (Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder): Diagnosis/Risk

R analysis
id Study   Lib. in paper Exposition period    Study type  Control type 
 
Tags OR 95%CI x1/n1 x0/n0 no cases no exposed ROB Ref.
S18660
R80574
Meng_Norway (Controls exposed to LTG/LEV), 2026 Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD)/Hyperkinetic Syndrome - At least 2 diagnoses on different dates ICD-9 and ICD-10: F90.xx or 2 dispensings of ADHD medication or 1 diagnosis and 1 dispensing - Follow up: between 6 and 12 years. Paternal exposure: genotoxic/epigenetic window (0–xxx months preconception) population based cohort retrospective exposed to other treatment, sick excluded Adjustment: Yes Paternal ASMs: monotherapy 1.28 [0.64;2.56]
excluded (control group)
14/319   26/730 40 319
ref
S18942
R80575
Meng_Norway (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026 Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD)/Hyperkinetic Syndrome - At least 2 diagnoses on different dates ICD-9 and ICD-10: F90.xx or 2 dispensings of ADHD medication or 1 diagnosis and 1 dispensing - Follow up: between 6 and 12 years. Paternal exposure: genotoxic/epigenetic window (0–xxx months preconception) population based cohort retrospective unexposed, sick Adjustment: Yes Paternal ASMs: monotherapy 1.15 [0.60;2.19] 13/304   3,356/121,306 3,369 304
ref
S18945
R80576
Meng_Taiwan (Controls exposed to LTG/LEV), 2026 Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD)/Hyperkinetic Syndrome - At least 2 diagnoses on different dates ICD-9 and ICD-10: F90.xx or 2 dispensings of ADHD medication or 1 diagnosis and 1 dispensing - Follow up: between 6 and 12 years. Paternal exposure: genotoxic/epigenetic window (0–xxx months preconception) population based cohort retrospective exposed to other treatment, sick excluded Adjustment: Yes Paternal ASMs: monotherapy 0.93 [0.39;2.22]
excluded (control group)
62/564   9/96 71 564
ref
S18944
R80577
Meng_Taiwan (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026 Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD)/Hyperkinetic Syndrome - At least 2 diagnoses on different dates ICD-9 and ICD-10: F90.xx or 2 dispensings of ADHD medication or 1 diagnosis and 1 dispensing - Follow up: between 6 and 12 years. Paternal exposure: genotoxic/epigenetic window (0–xxx months preconception) population based cohort retrospective unexposed, sick Adjustment: Yes Paternal ASMs: monotherapy 1.16 [0.89;1.51] 61/543   39,101/500,498 39,162 543
ref
S18948
R80592
Razaz_Sweden, 2026 Attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) - One diagnosis ICD-10 code for ADHD: F90.0, F98.8 - Median age at the end of follow-up: 6.6 years Paternal exposure: genotoxic/epigenetic window (0–xxx months preconception) population based cohort retrospective exposed to other treatment, sick Adjustment: Yes Paternal ASMs: monotherapy 0.97 [0.74;1.26] 112/1,500   175/2,906 287 1,500
ref
S18654
R79301
Botton, 2025 Attention deficit hyperactivity disorders - ICD10: F90.x and/or methylphenidate prescription - Median follow up (years): 11.9 (IQR [10.3 - 13.3]) for valproate; 11.2 (IQR [9.9 - 12.8]) for control Paternal exposure: genotoxic/epigenetic window (0–xxx months preconception) retrospective cohort (claims database) exposed to other treatment, sick Adjustment: Yes Paternal ASMs: monotherapy 1.04 [0.74;1.47] 104/3,484   56/2,041 160 3,484
ref
S18646
R79302
Christensen (Controls exposed to LTG/LEV), 2024 Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) - ICD-10 codes F90.0 and F98.8 - Median age [IQR] age at the end of follow-up: 10.6 [5.4-15.0] years for valproate; 5.5 [2.7-9.3] years for controls Paternal exposure: genotoxic/epigenetic window (0–xxx months preconception) population based cohort retrospective exposed to other treatment, sick Adjustment: Yes Paternal ASMs: monotherapy 0.60 [0.33;1.12] 26/961   27/1,401 53 961
ref
Total 5 studies 1.02 [0.87;1.20] 43,031 6,792
x1: number of endpoints among exposed, n1: number of exposed; x0: number of endpoints among non exposed, n0: number of non exposed; C: calculated odds ratio from numbers of events and effectives

Forest plot

StudyTE95% CIn casesn exposedweightROBABCDEF Meng_Norway (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026Meng_Norway, 2026 1 1.15[0.60; 2.19]3,3693046%ROB confusion: moderateROB selection: lowROB classification: criticalROB missing: lowROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: low Meng_Taiwan (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026Meng_Taiwan, 2026 2 1.16[0.89; 1.51]39,16254334%ROB confusion: moderateROB selection: lowROB classification: criticalROB missing: lowROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: low Razaz_Sweden, 2026Razaz_Sweden, 2026 0.97[0.74; 1.26]2871,50033%ROB confusion: seriousROB selection: unclearROB classification: criticalROB missing: lowROB mesure: criticalROB reporting: moderate Botton, 2025Botton, 2025 1.04[0.74; 1.47]1603,48420%ROB confusion: moderateROB selection: moderateROB classification: criticalROB missing: unclearROB mesure: moderateROB reporting: moderate Christensen (Controls exposed to LTG/LEV), 2024Christensen, 2024 3 0.60[0.33; 1.12]539617%ROB confusion: seriousROB selection: lowROB classification: criticalROB missing: unclearROB mesure: criticalROB reporting: moderate Total (5 studies) I2 = 2% 1.02[0.87; 1.20]43,0316,7920.25.01.0ROB: A: confusion, B: selection, C: classification, D: missing, E: measurement, F: reportinglow,moderate,serious,critical,unclear,

1: Controls unexposed, sick; 2: Controls unexposed, sick; 3: Controls exposed to LTG/LEV;

Sensitivity analysis

SubsetTE95% CIn casesn exposedkI2 Type of studies cohort studiescohort studies 1.02[0.87; 1.20]43,0316,7922%NAMeng_Norway (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026 Meng_Taiwan (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026 Razaz_Sweden, 2026 Botton, 2025 Christensen (Controls exposed to LTG/LEV), 2024 5 case control studiescase control studies 0 Type of controls unexposed, sickunexposed, sick 1.16[0.91; 1.48]42,5318470%NAMeng_Norway (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026 Meng_Taiwan (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026 2 exposed to other treatment, sickexposed to other treatment, sick 0.93[0.74; 1.18]5005,94519%NARazaz_Sweden, 2026 Botton, 2025 Christensen (Controls exposed to LTG/LEV), 2024 3 Tags Adjustment   - Yes  - Yes 1.02[0.87; 1.20]43,0316,7922%NAMeng_Norway (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026 Meng_Taiwan (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026 Razaz_Sweden, 2026 Botton, 2025 Christensen (Controls exposed to LTG/LEV), 2024 5 Paternal ASMs   - monotherapy  - monotherapy 1.02[0.87; 1.20]43,0316,7922%NAMeng_Norway (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026 Meng_Taiwan (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026 Razaz_Sweden, 2026 Botton, 2025 Christensen (Controls exposed to LTG/LEV), 2024 5 All studiesAll studies 1.02[0.87; 1.20]43,0316,7922%NAMeng_Norway (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026 Meng_Taiwan (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026 Razaz_Sweden, 2026 Botton, 2025 Christensen (Controls exposed to LTG/LEV), 2024 50.25.01.0

Publication bias and p-hacking diagnosis

funnel plot
0.0-0.80.80.3960.000Meng_Norway (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026Meng_Taiwan (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026Razaz_Sweden, 2026Botton, 2025Christensen (Controls exposed to LTG/LEV), 2024

Asymetry test p-value = 0.4034 (by Egger's regression)

slope=0.2402 (0.2371); intercept=-1.3069 (1.3467); t=0.9704; p=0.4034

p values plot
0.01.00.01.0

Sub-groups analysis using all included studies

excluded 18660, 18945

Sub-groupsTE95% CIn casesn exposedkI2ROB type of controls unexposed, sick controlsunexposed, sick controls 1.16[0.91; 1.48]42,5318470%NAMeng_Norway (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026 Meng_Taiwan (Controls unexposed, sick), 2026 2 exposed to other treatment, sick controlsexposed to other treatment, sick controls 0.96[0.80; 1.16]6116,8280%NAMeng_Norway (Controls exposed to LTG/LEV), 2026 Meng_Taiwan (Controls exposed to LTG/LEV), 2026 Razaz_Sweden, 2026 Botton, 2025 Christensen (Controls exposed to LTG/LEV), 2024 50.510.01.0